Pairwise course analysis
Washington Park 5K Coursevs.Noble and Greenough School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Noble and Greenough School 5K runs slower
+5.79%
Roughly 1:09 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
237
Deep evidence
Median difference
+5.76%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+5.79%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.80%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Noble and Greenough School 5K fasterEvenNoble and Greenough School 5K slower
Confidence interval
+5.31% to +6.51%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Washington Park 5K Course | Noble and Greenough School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temi Martins-Desumu | 2024 | 30:06.001 race | 26:23.001 race | -12.35% |
| Liam Walsh | 2024 | 19:05.001 race | 17:24.001 race | -8.82% |
| Ellie Sullivan | 2021 | 28:40.001 race | 26:58.001 race | -5.93% |
| Akshaya Sundraraj | 2021 | 33:47.001 race | 32:02.001 race | -5.18% |
| Anthony Billings | 2024 | 22:22.001 race | 21:44.001 race | -2.83% |
| Avish Kumar | 2024 | 27:08.001 race | 26:24.001 race | -2.70% |
| Liv Ding | 2024 | 27:34.001 race | 26:52.001 race | -2.54% |
| Catherine Bain | 2024 | 22:31.001 race | 22:01.001 race | -2.22% |
| Shawna Liu | 2021 | 27:34.001 race | 27:05.001 race | -1.75% |
| Anna Gormon-Huang | 2025 | 33:23.001 race | 33:02.001 race | -1.05% |
| David Comander | 2024 | 22:50.001 race | 22:37.001 race | -0.95% |
| Sofia Mraz | 2021 | 25:17.001 race | 25:11.001 race | -0.40% |
| A. Wang | 2025 | 26:25.001 race | 26:22.001 race | -0.19% |
| Charles Zhang | 2022 | 25:52.601 race | 25:50.001 race | -0.17% |
| Kassie Schaeberle | 2024 | 28:50.001 race | 28:48.001 race | -0.12% |
| Kean Schwartz | 2024 | 27:53.001 race | 27:54.001 race | +0.06% |
| Olivian Baker | 2025 | 22:58.001 race | 23:02.001 race | +0.29% |
| Ameer Hasan | 2024 | 24:42.001 race | 24:48.001 race | +0.40% |
| Nick Glaeser | 2024 | 25:57.001 race | 26:05.001 race | +0.51% |
| Teddy Ellis | 2021 | 18:53.001 race | 18:59.001 race | +0.53% |
| Fin Reichard | 2024 | 19:49.001 race | 19:56.001 race | +0.59% |
| Julian Barber | 2024 | 22:13.001 race | 22:22.001 race | +0.68% |
| Max Kesselheim | 2024 | 19:27.001 race | 19:35.001 race | +0.69% |
| Tony Guo | 2019 | 22:23.001 race | 22:33.001 race | +0.74% |
| Joshua Resnick | 2025 | 19:55.002 races | 20:05.001 race | +0.84% |
| Brendan Reichard | 2024 | 21:37.001 race | 21:48.001 race | +0.85% |
| Maggie Cabot | 2024 | 22:44.001 race | 22:56.001 race | +0.88% |
| Sam Dunn | 2021 | 18:52.001 race | 19:02.001 race | +0.88% |
| Pablo Paxtor | 2023 | 19:28.103 races | 19:42.001 race | +1.19% |
| Thaxton Frey | 2024 | 21:50.002 races | 22:06.001 race | +1.22% |
| Eric Liu | 2023 | 21:19.703 races | 21:36.001 race | +1.27% |
| Lincoln Hyatt | 2024 | 17:45.001 race | 18:00.001 race | +1.41% |
| Brady Gomez | 2024 | 31:18.001 race | 31:46.001 race | +1.49% |
| Cody Monahan | 2025 | 22:53.001 race | 23:14.001 race | +1.53% |
| Maggie Xu | 2021 | 30:51.001 race | 31:20.001 race | +1.57% |
| Siena Adduci | 2021 | 36:54.001 race | 37:35.001 race | +1.85% |
| Mariam Craig | 2021 | 22:05.001 race | 22:30.001 race | +1.89% |
| Andrew Yang | 2021 | 23:42.001 race | 24:09.001 race | +1.90% |
| Claire Choe | 2021 | 22:48.001 race | 23:14.001 race | +1.90% |
| Levi Harrison | 2024 | 16:57.001 race | 17:18.001 race | +2.06% |
| Lily Makepeace | 2023 | 27:20.802 races | 27:55.001 race | +2.08% |
| Casey Coleman | 2024 | 19:57.001 race | 20:22.001 race | +2.09% |
| Alexander Colangelo | 2022 | 19:01.701 race | 19:26.001 race | +2.13% |
| Toby Harrison | 2024 | 18:38.001 race | 19:02.001 race | +2.15% |
| Benjamin Hebbel | 2023 | 17:46.803 races | 18:10.001 race | +2.17% |
| Alitza Soiffer | 2021 | 27:30.001 race | 28:06.001 race | +2.18% |
| Myles Ndiritu | 2021 | 22:43.001 race | 23:13.001 race | +2.20% |
| Noah Divon | 2023 | 21:18.503 races | 21:49.001 race | +2.39% |
| Cassidy Bruno | 2024 | 21:20.001 race | 21:52.001 race | +2.50% |
| Lily Makepeace | 2024 | 23:38.002 races | 24:14.001 race | +2.54% |
| Nicolas Huaco | 2023 | 17:39.903 races | 18:09.001 race | +2.75% |
| Pipsa Palatsi | 2024 | 22:37.001 race | 23:15.001 race | +2.80% |
| Connor Steele | 2021 | 18:57.001 race | 19:29.001 race | +2.81% |
| Aidan Pearsall | 2024 | 16:29.002 races | 16:57.001 race | +2.83% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 2023 | 16:59.002 races | 17:30.001 race | +3.04% |
| Eric Archerman | 2024 | 18:17.001 race | 18:51.001 race | +3.10% |
| Charles Jackivicz | 2024 | 17:35.002 races | 18:10.001 race | +3.32% |
| Cameron Gonzalez | 2023 | 18:03.001 race | 18:39.001 race | +3.32% |
| Colin Bradley | 2024 | 18:39.001 race | 19:17.001 race | +3.40% |
| Eric Liu | 2024 | 20:01.002 races | 20:42.001 race | +3.41% |
| Ross Stewart | 2019 | 18:28.003 races | 19:06.001 race | +3.43% |
| Richard Fedrico | 2024 | 17:18.001 race | 17:54.001 race | +3.47% |
| Katie Tantillo | 2024 | 22:43.001 race | 23:31.001 race | +3.52% |
| Lucy Wang | 2021 | 31:13.001 race | 32:20.001 race | +3.58% |
| Amory Forman | 2025 | 20:55.001 race | 21:40.001 race | +3.59% |
| Alex Berk | 2025 | 21:43.001 race | 22:31.001 race | +3.68% |
| Elizabeth Nicholas | 2025 | 24:31.001 race | 25:26.001 race | +3.74% |
| Thomas Strong | 2021 | 20:15.001 race | 21:01.001 race | +3.79% |
| Diego Abadie | 2025 | 17:34.001 race | 18:14.001 race | +3.80% |
| Peter Favero | 2021 | 17:31.001 race | 18:11.001 race | +3.81% |
| Oliver Colbert | 2024 | 20:49.001 race | 21:37.001 race | +3.84% |
| Robinson Noble | 2021 | 23:05.001 race | 23:59.001 race | +3.90% |
| Jack Hutchison | 2019 | 18:45.003 races | 19:29.001 race | +3.91% |
| Alex Dias | 2024 | 25:48.001 race | 26:49.001 race | +3.94% |
| Kailin Shi | 2021 | 23:47.001 race | 24:44.001 race | +3.99% |
| Alexei Liska | 2024 | 21:33.001 race | 22:26.001 race | +4.10% |
| Gracie Daoust | 2023 | 26:50.601 race | 27:57.001 race | +4.12% |
| Seif El Gazaar | 2024 | 18:49.002 races | 19:36.001 race | +4.16% |
| Ge Easton | 2025 | 24:12.001 race | 25:13.001 race | +4.20% |
| Calvin Reid | 2024 | 18:11.001 race | 18:57.001 race | +4.22% |
| Stealla Curwin-Amfitheatrof | 2024 | 20:47.001 race | 21:40.001 race | +4.25% |
| Charles Jackivicz | 2023 | 17:39.603 races | 18:25.001 race | +4.28% |
| Torey Mathews | 2021 | 25:24.001 race | 26:30.001 race | +4.33% |
| Charlotte Lokere | 2022 | 24:56.301 race | 26:02.001 race | +4.39% |
| Scarlett Hawkins | 2025 | 20:06.001 race | 21:00.001 race | +4.48% |
| Anthony Coston | 2022 | 21:57.901 race | 22:57.001 race | +4.48% |
| Allison Luo | 2024 | 24:00.001 race | 25:05.001 race | +4.51% |
| Gabe Cooper | 2025 | 21:13.001 race | 22:11.001 race | +4.56% |
| Brian Xi | 2021 | 20:16.001 race | 21:12.001 race | +4.61% |
| Ryan Wei | 2021 | 18:09.001 race | 19:00.001 race | +4.68% |
| Luke Peabody | 2024 | 19:11.002 races | 20:05.001 race | +4.69% |
| Kai On (Jason) Yu | 2021 | 20:12.001 race | 21:09.001 race | +4.70% |
| Matthew Abati | 2021 | 20:32.001 race | 21:30.001 race | +4.71% |
| Sam Poulin | 2021 | 18:42.003 races | 19:35.001 race | +4.72% |
| Mahiro Yamikawa | 2019 | 18:25.003 races | 19:18.001 race | +4.80% |
| Martin Erath | 2024 | 18:42.001 race | 19:36.001 race | +4.81% |
| Evi Robb | 2023 | 25:54.702 races | 27:10.001 race | +4.84% |
| Tristan Parmentier | 2021 | 20:09.002 races | 21:08.001 race | +4.88% |
| Kendry Navas Perez | 2023 | 31:05.302 races | 32:37.001 race | +4.92% |
| Daniella Hammerschlag | 2025 | 27:27.001 race | 28:48.001 race | +4.92% |
| Matthew Smith | 2022 | 22:01.001 race | 23:06.001 race | +4.92% |
| Natalie Williamson | 2021 | 20:08.001 race | 21:08.001 race | +4.97% |
| Sunny Qian | 2024 | 21:07.001 race | 22:10.001 race | +4.97% |
| Winson Zhang | 2024 | 22:43.002 races | 23:51.001 race | +4.99% |
| Evan Zhang | 2021 | 19:51.001 race | 20:51.001 race | +5.04% |
| Anika Ata | 2024 | 21:48.001 race | 22:54.001 race | +5.05% |
| Alexander Kirby | 2022 | 21:31.201 race | 22:37.001 race | +5.10% |
| Anthony Kim | 2021 | 22:32.003 races | 23:41.001 race | +5.10% |
| Ezra Klauber | 2024 | 16:52.001 race | 17:45.001 race | +5.24% |
| Ethan Sweeney | 2019 | 19:24.003 races | 20:25.001 race | +5.24% |
| Victoria Fawcett | 2021 | 19:38.001 race | 20:40.001 race | +5.26% |
| Robert Sou | 2024 | 20:54.001 race | 22:00.001 race | +5.26% |
| Camden Jeppsen | 2024 | 17:06.001 race | 18:01.001 race | +5.36% |
| Juan José Torres Lara | 2021 | 19:48.002 races | 20:54.001 race | +5.56% |
| Kevin Farmer | 2021 | 21:03.001 race | 22:14.001 race | +5.62% |
| Peilin Li | 2025 | 20:06.001 race | 21:14.001 race | +5.64% |
| Allen Zheng | 2024 | 23:18.002 races | 24:37.001 race | +5.65% |
| Grace Millett | 2021 | 21:13.001 race | 22:25.001 race | +5.66% |
| Merrick Brannigan | 2024 | 22:16.002 races | 23:33.001 race | +5.76% |
| Kinh Kieu | 2022 | 31:26.201 race | 33:15.001 race | +5.77% |
| Richard Shum | 2019 | 22:12.003 races | 23:30.001 race | +5.86% |
| Nick Proudlove | 2023 | 21:15.102 races | 22:30.001 race | +5.87% |
| Logan Hoffman | 2024 | 20:51.001 race | 22:05.001 race | +5.92% |
| Eva Zhao | 2024 | 30:02.001 race | 31:51.001 race | +6.05% |
| Kate McBride | 2021 | 21:53.001 race | 23:13.001 race | +6.09% |
| Elliot Smith | 2021 | 20:57.001 race | 22:15.001 race | +6.21% |
| Vedant Deokar | 2021 | 18:27.001 race | 19:36.001 race | +6.23% |
| James Good | 2021 | 20:42.001 race | 22:00.001 race | +6.28% |
| Charlotte Maturo | 2019 | 27:20.001 race | 29:04.001 race | +6.34% |
| Andrew Mottur | 2019 | 17:47.003 races | 18:55.001 race | +6.37% |
| Caroline Quirk | 2021 | 29:01.002 races | 30:52.001 race | +6.38% |
| Ruby Tsai | 2021 | 24:25.001 race | 25:59.001 race | +6.42% |
| Alexander Cesaretti | 2021 | 20:09.001 race | 21:27.001 race | +6.45% |
| Gabriel (Gabby) Guerrero | 2021 | 17:34.001 race | 18:42.001 race | +6.45% |
| Terry Qi | 2024 | 19:00.001 race | 20:15.001 race | +6.58% |
| Abigail Riordan | 2021 | 25:03.001 race | 26:42.001 race | +6.59% |
| Louis Chiasson | 2021 | 20:14.001 race | 21:34.001 race | +6.59% |
| James Kerr | 2024 | 15:57.001 race | 17:01.001 race | +6.69% |
| Caroline Chung | 2025 | 29:29.001 race | 31:28.001 race | +6.73% |
| Bradley Weldon | 2021 | 20:42.002 races | 22:06.002 races | +6.76% |
| Nicolas Huaco | 2024 | 16:59.002 races | 18:08.001 race | +6.77% |
| Nicolas Huaco | 2021 | 18:12.003 races | 19:26.001 race | +6.78% |
| Henry Horvath | 2021 | 18:22.001 race | 19:37.001 race | +6.81% |
| Eleanor Chung | 2025 | 29:30.001 race | 31:31.001 race | +6.84% |
| Harper Weng | 2019 | 32:40.002 races | 34:54.001 race | +6.84% |
| Luke Peabody | 2023 | 18:53.103 races | 20:11.001 race | +6.87% |
| Sebastian Briggs | 2024 | 21:19.002 races | 22:47.001 race | +6.88% |
| David Xiong | 2025 | 18:38.001 race | 19:55.001 race | +6.89% |
| Jenny Phan | 2021 | 26:38.001 race | 28:29.001 race | +6.95% |
| Lily Davis | 2024 | 21:46.001 race | 23:17.001 race | +6.97% |
| Ryan Shue | 2021 | 20:54.001 race | 22:22.001 race | +7.02% |
| Josie Silk | 2021 | 21:22.001 race | 22:52.001 race | +7.02% |
| Alexander Cederbaum | 2025 | 21:36.001 race | 23:07.001 race | +7.02% |
| Sadie Millett | 2021 | 20:45.001 race | 22:13.001 race | +7.07% |
| Darian Estrada | 2024 | 23:57.001 race | 25:39.001 race | +7.10% |
| Henry Orraca-Cecil | 2024 | 18:16.001 race | 19:34.001 race | +7.12% |
| Natalie Meleo | 2024 | 24:19.002 races | 26:03.001 race | +7.13% |
| Mitchell Ladd | 2021 | 23:11.001 race | 24:53.001 race | +7.33% |
| Sue Hayashi | 2024 | 25:16.001 race | 27:08.001 race | +7.39% |
| Benjamin Hebbel | 2024 | 16:09.002 races | 17:21.001 race | +7.43% |
| Immy Serifovic | 2021 | 23:04.001 race | 24:47.001 race | +7.44% |
| Thomas Valderrama | 2021 | 21:30.002 races | 23:07.001 race | +7.52% |
| Matias Egan | 2025 | 19:53.001 race | 21:23.001 race | +7.54% |
| Florence Morlock | 2021 | 22:03.001 race | 23:44.001 race | +7.63% |
| Dylan Fu | 2024 | 19:22.001 race | 20:51.001 race | +7.66% |
| Vivian Zhang | 2025 | 30:23.001 race | 32:43.001 race | +7.68% |
| Charlotte Friedmann | 2024 | 27:13.001 race | 29:19.001 race | +7.72% |
| Alex DeChiara | 2024 | 22:05.001 race | 23:48.001 race | +7.77% |
| Isabel Pavloniss | 2021 | 28:40.001 race | 30:54.001 race | +7.79% |
| Xuton Tang | 2025 | 18:48.001 race | 20:17.001 race | +7.89% |
| Will Jevon | 2021 | 19:41.001 race | 21:15.001 race | +7.96% |
| Kayla Clifford | 2019 | 27:03.003 races | 29:13.001 race | +8.01% |
| Noah Divon | 2024 | 22:42.001 race | 24:32.001 race | +8.08% |
| Steve Ma | 2024 | 22:14.001 race | 24:03.001 race | +8.17% |
| Julia Torrey | 2021 | 21:47.001 race | 23:34.001 race | +8.19% |
| Evan Ning | 2021 | 22:47.001 race | 24:39.001 race | +8.19% |
| Annabelle Rogers | 2021 | 20:57.001 race | 22:40.001 race | +8.19% |
| Nathan Anderson | 2019 | 18:54.003 races | 20:29.001 race | +8.38% |
| Max Liang | 2024 | 22:36.001 race | 24:30.001 race | +8.41% |
| Harrison Huang | 2021 | 23:43.001 race | 25:43.001 race | +8.43% |
| Gratian Ting | 2021 | 23:44.001 race | 25:45.001 race | +8.50% |
| Peter Iascone | 2019 | 22:54.002 races | 24:53.001 race | +8.66% |
| Theo Martin | 2024 | 23:14.001 race | 25:15.001 race | +8.68% |
| Sophia Yang | 2021 | 25:02.001 race | 27:13.001 race | +8.72% |
| Raymond Li | 2021 | 21:19.001 race | 23:11.002 races | +8.76% |
| Matt Palmer | 2024 | 18:23.001 race | 20:00.001 race | +8.79% |
| Megan Shi | 2021 | 26:15.001 race | 28:35.001 race | +8.89% |
| Ken Suzuki | 2021 | 19:49.003 races | 21:35.001 race | +8.92% |
| Quentin DeFreitas | 2022 | 23:17.501 race | 25:25.001 race | +9.12% |
| Evi Robb | 2024 | 24:03.001 race | 26:16.001 race | +9.22% |
| Sam Poulin | 2019 | 20:35.003 races | 22:29.001 race | +9.23% |
| Jade Xiao | 2021 | 25:27.001 race | 27:48.001 race | +9.23% |
| Andrew Rodriguez | 2021 | 21:42.001 race | 23:43.001 race | +9.29% |
| Marvelous Ugwu | 2024 | 25:54.001 race | 28:22.001 race | +9.52% |
| Sebastien Aubourg | 2024 | 17:52.001 race | 19:35.001 race | +9.61% |
| Dom Genovesse | 2021 | 30:28.001 race | 33:25.001 race | +9.68% |
| Matthew Ding | 2025 | 21:41.001 race | 23:47.001 race | +9.68% |
| Henry Pojasek | 2025 | 21:53.001 race | 24:02.001 race | +9.82% |
| Cameron Gonzalez | 2021 | 17:35.003 races | 19:20.001 race | +9.95% |
| Alexa Burton | 2021 | 22:52.001 race | 25:10.001 race | +10.06% |
| Zach Rogers | 2019 | 19:51.003 races | 21:53.001 race | +10.24% |
| Sophie Chatfield | 2024 | 24:41.002 races | 27:17.001 race | +10.53% |
| Sophia Wu | 2019 | 23:19.001 race | 25:53.001 race | +11.01% |
| Lucas Miller | 2022 | 19:42.401 race | 21:53.001 race | +11.05% |
| Thompson Zhou | 2019 | 23:03.002 races | 25:36.001 race | +11.06% |
| Allan Lu | 2024 | 25:46.001 race | 28:38.001 race | +11.13% |
| Viola Shepard | 2025 | 26:16.001 race | 29:13.001 race | +11.23% |
| Ben Luo | 2021 | 19:57.001 race | 22:14.001 race | +11.45% |
| Noah Ditzion | 2025 | 21:56.001 race | 24:28.001 race | +11.55% |
| Justine Lam | 2021 | 28:00.001 race | 31:21.001 race | +11.96% |
| Jerry Cao | 2024 | 21:09.001 race | 23:43.001 race | +12.14% |
| Calvin Cochran | 2019 | 21:04.002 races | 23:38.001 race | +12.18% |
| Neo Wang | 2024 | 23:38.001 race | 26:31.001 race | +12.20% |
| Sophia Deng | 2019 | 25:08.001 race | 28:13.001 race | +12.27% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2021 | 24:06.002 races | 27:04.001 race | +12.31% |
| Jessica Wu | 2024 | 26:22.001 race | 29:37.001 race | +12.33% |
| Vincent Gilbert | 2024 | 19:33.001 race | 21:58.001 race | +12.36% |
| Amy Ma | 2019 | 25:06.001 race | 28:13.001 race | +12.42% |
| Sophia Bueno | 2021 | 25:23.001 race | 28:34.001 race | +12.54% |
| Michael Cheng | 2021 | 21:54.001 race | 24:40.001 race | +12.63% |
| Maggie Xu | 2019 | 31:48.003 races | 35:53.001 race | +12.84% |
| Tim Cassidy | 2021 | 21:59.001 race | 24:50.001 race | +12.96% |
| Amy Sharma | 2019 | 19:29.001 race | 22:03.001 race | +13.17% |
| Joey Caspar | 2021 | 20:47.001 race | 23:32.001 race | +13.23% |
| Katie Reveno | 2019 | 22:03.001 race | 25:07.001 race | +13.91% |
| Gracie Daoust | 2024 | 24:28.001 race | 27:57.001 race | +14.24% |
| Phoebe Lynch | 2019 | 27:43.001 race | 31:46.001 race | +14.61% |
| Olivia Fayemi | 2019 | 27:57.001 race | 32:03.001 race | +14.67% |
| Izzy Cheney | 2019 | 22:30.003 races | 25:56.001 race | +15.26% |
| Nick Costantino | 2021 | 21:39.001 race | 25:10.001 race | +16.24% |
| Abdel Barakat | 2019 | 20:16.003 races | 23:35.001 race | +16.37% |
| Dung Pham | 2019 | 23:56.002 races | 27:54.001 race | +16.57% |
| Wren Fortunoff | 2019 | 20:56.001 race | 24:27.001 race | +16.80% |
| Cara Chang | 2019 | 22:33.001 race | 26:46.001 race | +18.70% |
| Aisling O'Connell | 2019 | 22:14.001 race | 26:30.001 race | +19.19% |
| Lucy Anderson | 2019 | 24:37.001 race | 29:30.001 race | +19.84% |
| Christina Chen | 2019 | 23:33.001 race | 28:55.001 race | +22.79% |