Pairwise course analysis
Brooks School 5Kvs.Highland Park Championship Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Highland Park Championship Course runs faster
-5.18%
Roughly 1:02 faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
30
Developing evidence
Median difference
-5.09%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-5.18%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.90%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-7.70% to -4.06%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Brooks School 5K | Highland Park Championship Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Zhu | 2025 | 34:21.492 races | 27:19.971 race | -20.45% |
| Bella Choi | 2025 | 33:32.002 races | 28:05.621 race | -16.22% |
| Kaden Almaraz | 2025 | 26:34.612 races | 22:18.361 race | -16.07% |
| Luke Ferrone | 2025 | 26:39.892 races | 24:30.351 race | -8.10% |
| Andy Li | 2025 | 28:46.802 races | 26:30.181 race | -7.91% |
| Ryan Connolly | 2025 | 22:07.191 race | 20:23.871 race | -7.78% |
| Henry Bowman | 2025 | 22:08.121 race | 20:26.231 race | -7.67% |
| Joseph Ryan | 2025 | 24:12.591 race | 22:27.011 race | -7.27% |
| Richie Joyce | 2025 | 23:45.781 race | 22:09.011 race | -6.79% |
| Nate Bloomenthal | 2025 | 20:28.361 race | 19:06.861 race | -6.63% |
| Morgan Pfeil | 2025 | 24:25.002 races | 22:48.721 race | -6.57% |
| Gianna Carroll | 2025 | 27:01.001 race | 25:24.371 race | -5.96% |
| Pilar Bell | 2025 | 27:43.002 races | 26:13.391 race | -5.39% |
| Bobby Ferguson | 2025 | 23:09.991 race | 21:56.271 race | -5.30% |
| Cormac Anderson | 2025 | 22:17.131 race | 21:07.771 race | -5.19% |
| John Joyce | 2025 | 17:24.171 race | 16:32.061 race | -4.99% |
| Sebastian Culleton | 2025 | 19:00.491 race | 18:03.601 race | -4.99% |
| Sam Benson | 2025 | 21:44.812 races | 20:45.451 race | -4.55% |
| Lorenzo Johnson | 2025 | 21:25.672 races | 20:28.331 race | -4.46% |
| Joseph Koh | 2025 | 19:28.081 race | 18:39.101 race | -4.19% |
| Brin Ferrone | 2025 | 26:43.332 races | 25:42.681 race | -3.78% |
| Samson Oblak | 2025 | 23:17.042 races | 22:27.531 race | -3.54% |
| Kevin Xie | 2025 | 29:30.122 races | 28:27.801 race | -3.52% |
| Jack Torrisi | 2025 | 23:56.192 races | 23:11.701 race | -3.10% |
| James Carroll | 2025 | 22:31.812 races | 21:50.781 race | -3.04% |
| Phoebe Cogan | 2025 | 23:08.002 races | 22:29.211 race | -2.79% |
| Jack Halloran | 2025 | 18:18.271 race | 18:04.621 race | -1.24% |
| Patrick Fennell | 2025 | 21:30.461 race | 21:22.011 race | -0.65% |
| Rohan Ghatge | 2025 | 22:31.101 race | 22:24.041 race | -0.52% |
| Jack Li | 2025 | 26:45.061 race | 28:16.041 race | +5.67% |