Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.Highland Park Championship Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Highland Park Championship Course runs faster
-2.29%
Roughly 27.5 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
28
Developing evidence
Median difference
-3.22%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.29%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.55%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-5.52% to -2.17%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | Highland Park Championship Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Brooks | 2023 | 29:09.001 race | 24:54.001 race | -14.58% |
| Annie Husband | 2023 | 28:13.001 race | 24:37.001 race | -12.76% |
| Andy Chen | 2023 | 22:45.001 race | 20:31.001 race | -9.82% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2023 | 27:08.001 race | 24:32.001 race | -9.58% |
| Eddie Zhang | 2023 | 22:14.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -7.57% |
| Luis Sosa Espinal | 2023 | 22:32.001 race | 20:51.001 race | -7.47% |
| Parker Lial | 2023 | 24:26.001 race | 22:45.001 race | -6.89% |
| James McCarron III | 2023 | 17:36.001 race | 16:24.001 race | -6.82% |
| Peyton Lubeck | 2023 | 20:29.001 race | 19:26.001 race | -5.13% |
| Grant Vensel | 2023 | 21:17.001 race | 20:19.001 race | -4.54% |
| Kylee Bolding | 2023 | 24:40.001 race | 23:38.001 race | -4.19% |
| Peter Duhamel | 2023 | 19:37.001 race | 18:49.001 race | -4.08% |
| Somers Estwanik | 2023 | 21:49.001 race | 21:01.001 race | -3.67% |
| Joseph Koh | 2023 | 19:41.001 race | 19:03.001 race | -3.22% |
| Van Crocker | 2023 | 20:45.001 race | 20:05.001 race | -3.21% |
| A Lontoc | 2023 | 22:42.001 race | 22:02.001 race | -2.94% |
| Jonathan Demosthene | 2023 | 20:13.001 race | 19:44.001 race | -2.39% |
| Ryan Growney | 2023 | 19:17.001 race | 18:55.001 race | -1.90% |
| Chris Thompson | 2023 | 19:23.001 race | 19:03.001 race | -1.72% |
| Jack Connors | 2023 | 16:56.001 race | 16:47.001 race | -0.89% |
| Liam Gavin | 2023 | 21:01.001 race | 20:51.001 race | -0.79% |
| Mae Lial | 2023 | 23:22.001 race | 23:14.001 race | -0.57% |
| Owen Richer | 2023 | 18:36.001 race | 18:30.001 race | -0.54% |
| Abner Machuca Diaz | 2023 | 20:12.001 race | 20:21.001 race | +0.74% |
| John Joyce | 2023 | 16:41.001 race | 16:58.001 race | +1.70% |
| Sebastian Culleton | 2023 | 17:14.001 race | 17:32.001 race | +1.74% |
| Cesar Hernandez | 2023 | 24:47.001 race | 25:20.001 race | +2.22% |
| Taylor Holmes | 2023 | 18:38.001 race | 19:18.001 race | +3.58% |