Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.NMH Championship Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
NMH Championship Course runs slower
+1.52%
Roughly 18.3 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
44
Strong evidence
Median difference
+1.18%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.52%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.87%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+0.59% to +2.53%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | NMH Championship Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Foschi Walko | 2019 | 21:42.001 race | 21:00.001 race | -3.23% |
| Gabriel Klug | 2019 | 21:50.001 race | 21:13.001 race | -2.82% |
| Victor Xu | 2019 | 21:25.001 race | 20:50.001 race | -2.72% |
| Charles Mullaney | 2019 | 20:33.001 race | 20:01.001 race | -2.60% |
| John Weldon | 2019 | 19:22.001 race | 19:03.001 race | -1.64% |
| Alex Rodriguez | 2019 | 20:40.001 race | 20:20.001 race | -1.61% |
| John Curtin | 2019 | 20:53.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -1.60% |
| Thomas Strong | 2019 | 20:30.001 race | 20:12.001 race | -1.46% |
| Evan Zhang | 2019 | 21:03.001 race | 20:50.001 race | -1.03% |
| Charles Donahue | 2019 | 18:41.001 race | 18:31.001 race | -0.89% |
| Daniel Bittner | 2019 | 21:05.001 race | 20:59.001 race | -0.47% |
| Seb Park | 2019 | 20:57.001 race | 20:54.001 race | -0.24% |
| Aidan McGaugh | 2019 | 18:00.001 race | 18:02.001 race | +0.19% |
| Samantha Cody | 2019 | 24:18.001 race | 24:22.001 race | +0.27% |
| Nicholas Hebard | 2019 | 21:58.001 race | 22:05.001 race | +0.53% |
| Sreetej Digumarthi | 2019 | 20:22.001 race | 20:29.001 race | +0.57% |
| Harvey Rupp | 2019 | 20:53.001 race | 21:01.001 race | +0.64% |
| Ryan Wei | 2019 | 18:22.002 races | 18:30.001 race | +0.73% |
| James Donahue | 2019 | 16:31.001 race | 16:40.001 race | +0.91% |
| Margo Becker | 2019 | 20:13.001 race | 20:25.001 race | +0.99% |
| Larissa Wolfberg | 2019 | 26:36.001 race | 26:52.001 race | +1.00% |
| Max Litvak | 2019 | 18:33.002 races | 18:45.001 race | +1.08% |
| Julia Torrey | 2019 | 21:57.001 race | 22:14.001 race | +1.29% |
| Natalie Williamson | 2019 | 22:01.001 race | 22:19.001 race | +1.36% |
| Jehan Boer | 2019 | 19:01.002 races | 19:17.001 race | +1.40% |
| Zach Neri | 2019 | 19:08.002 races | 19:25.001 race | +1.48% |
| Aston Chan | 2019 | 19:27.002 races | 19:49.001 race | +1.89% |
| Abraham Tolkoff | 2019 | 19:15.001 race | 19:38.001 race | +1.99% |
| Catherine Anderson | 2019 | 25:45.001 race | 26:17.001 race | +2.07% |
| Howard Huang | 2019 | 19:59.001 race | 20:26.001 race | +2.25% |
| Christiaan Eikeboom | 2019 | 18:35.001 race | 19:01.001 race | +2.33% |
| Charlotte Torrey | 2019 | 27:37.001 race | 28:18.001 race | +2.47% |
| Jack Sullivan | 2019 | 19:33.002 races | 20:03.001 race | +2.56% |
| Yaman Habip | 2019 | 19:57.001 race | 20:28.001 race | +2.59% |
| Tyler Forg | 2019 | 20:07.001 race | 20:39.001 race | +2.65% |
| Buket Aktas | 2019 | 25:24.001 race | 26:08.001 race | +2.89% |
| Tara O'Malley | 2019 | 22:41.001 race | 23:29.001 race | +3.53% |
| Aj Strang | 2019 | 16:33.002 races | 17:10.001 race | +3.73% |
| Evita Thadhani | 2019 | 21:55.001 race | 22:52.001 race | +4.33% |
| Elizabeth Strang | 2019 | 25:03.001 race | 26:10.001 race | +4.46% |
| Constance Legrand | 2019 | 24:41.001 race | 26:01.001 race | +5.40% |
| Christian Westphal | 2019 | 19:35.001 race | 21:11.001 race | +8.17% |
| Emma Zuccotti | 2019 | 26:57.001 race | 29:59.001 race | +11.26% |
| Pedro Mateo | 2019 | 18:46.002 races | 21:24.001 race | +14.03% |