Pairwise course analysis
NEPSTA DIII 2019 Championship Coursevs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs slower
+7.08%
Roughly 1:25 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
13
Limited evidence
Median difference
+6.86%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+7.08%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.67%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+5.60% to +8.87%
Scale shown
-10% to +10%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | NEPSTA DIII 2019 Championship Course | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashr El Auliya | 2019 | 19:14.001 race | 20:00.001 race | +3.99% |
| Tanay Kommareddi | 2019 | 19:50.001 race | 20:41.001 race | +4.29% |
| Gardner Brown | 2019 | 19:26.001 race | 20:18.001 race | +4.46% |
| James Lyman | 2019 | 19:41.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +4.49% |
| Molly Madigan | 2019 | 22:35.001 race | 23:49.001 race | +5.46% |
| Vanessa Shipley | 2019 | 22:12.001 race | 23:28.001 race | +5.71% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2019 | 21:08.001 race | 22:35.001 race | +6.86% |
| Alex Tobias | 2019 | 16:39.001 race | 17:51.001 race | +7.21% |
| Luke Desmaison | 2019 | 18:28.001 race | 19:50.001 race | +7.40% |
| Angelina Liberman | 2019 | 24:33.001 race | 26:51.001 race | +9.37% |
| Ashley Picard | 2019 | 21:59.001 race | 24:13.001 race | +10.16% |
| Nate Wirth | 2019 | 19:12.001 race | 21:26.001 race | +11.63% |
| Clara Choi | 2019 | 31:39.001 race | 35:53.001 race | +13.38% |