Pairwise course analysis
RL 5K Coursevs.Bouchard Park 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Bouchard Park 5K runs faster
-5.95%
Roughly 1:11 faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
70
Strong evidence
Median difference
-7.43%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-5.95%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.55%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Bouchard Park 5K fasterEvenBouchard Park 5K slower
Confidence interval
-8.24% to -6.32%
Scale shown
-10% to +10%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | RL 5K Course | Bouchard Park 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Shaller | 2025 | 25:03.001 race | 20:43.701 race | -17.25% |
| Jeff Lei | 2022 | 26:46.001 race | 22:53.001 race | -14.51% |
| Max Kesselheim | 2025 | 21:42.001 race | 18:37.601 race | -14.16% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 24:25.001 race | 21:09.701 race | -13.33% |
| Walt Reagan-Loomis | 2021 | 23:07.001 race | 20:08.501 race | -12.87% |
| Jacob Cifuentes | 2022 | 26:09.001 race | 22:53.001 race | -12.49% |
| Paul Tompros | 2025 | 26:24.001 race | 23:21.201 race | -11.54% |
| Ian Choe | 2022 | 28:24.001 race | 25:08.001 race | -11.50% |
| Ameer Hasan | 2025 | 24:54.001 race | 22:04.101 race | -11.37% |
| Temi Martins Dosumu | 2025 | 28:08.001 race | 25:01.401 race | -11.05% |
| Andrew Young | 2021 | 23:54.001 race | 21:17.601 race | -10.91% |
| Henry Wang | 2022 | 21:48.001 race | 19:27.001 race | -10.78% |
| Gianluca Foschi Walko | 2019 | 22:49.001 race | 20:25.501 race | -10.48% |
| Justin Jang | 2021 | 22:26.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -10.25% |
| Arjun Yerabothu | 2022 | 30:47.001 race | 27:38.001 race | -10.23% |
| Eli Helzberg | 2021 | 24:03.001 race | 21:38.201 race | -10.03% |
| Daniel Bittner | 2019 | 23:52.001 race | 21:28.401 race | -10.03% |
| Sebastian Rome | 2022 | 23:44.001 race | 21:22.001 race | -9.97% |
| Toby Harrison | 2025 | 20:07.001 race | 18:07.501 race | -9.90% |
| Colin Bradley | 2025 | 19:28.001 race | 17:34.601 race | -9.71% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 20:52.001 race | 18:50.701 race | -9.69% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2021 | 21:40.001 race | 19:36.001 race | -9.54% |
| Jacob Snell | 2022 | 20:30.001 race | 18:33.001 race | -9.51% |
| James Nichols-Worley | 2022 | 22:12.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -9.31% |
| Julian Vidal | 2025 | 22:32.001 race | 20:29.001 race | -9.10% |
| Nick Glaeser | 2025 | 24:20.001 race | 22:08.601 race | -9.00% |
| Alex Kovtenenko | 2025 | 21:08.001 race | 19:15.401 race | -8.88% |
| AJ Gorman | 2022 | 18:47.001 race | 17:09.001 race | -8.70% |
| Alex Young | 2021 | 21:34.001 race | 19:41.501 race | -8.69% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 19:27.001 race | 17:45.701 race | -8.68% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2021 | 19:31.001 race | 17:54.801 race | -8.22% |
| Jasper Hyatt | 2025 | 22:32.001 race | 20:42.301 race | -8.11% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 17:21.001 race | 15:56.601 race | -8.11% |
| Eric Zhang | 2022 | 22:27.001 race | 20:40.001 race | -7.94% |
| Ray Gao | 2022 | 26:30.001 race | 24:27.001 race | -7.74% |
| Justin Jang | 2023 | 19:52.001 race | 18:27.001 race | -7.13% |
| Alex Chen | 2022 | 26:03.001 race | 24:12.001 race | -7.10% |
| Sreetej Digumarthi | 2019 | 21:57.001 race | 20:23.501 race | -7.10% |
| Heng Leong | 2023 | 22:10.001 race | 20:36.001 race | -7.07% |
| Ben Romano | 2025 | 21:49.001 race | 20:17.601 race | -6.98% |
| Sam Blank | 2023 | 21:21.001 race | 19:53.001 race | -6.87% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 19:18.001 race | 18:00.201 race | -6.72% |
| Alex Young | 2023 | 19:06.001 race | 17:50.001 race | -6.63% |
| Liam Walsh | 2025 | 18:06.001 race | 16:54.301 race | -6.60% |
| Eric Archerman | 2025 | 18:41.001 race | 17:29.601 race | -6.37% |
| Lincoln Hyatt | 2025 | 18:54.001 race | 17:42.801 race | -6.28% |
| James Kerr | 2025 | 16:47.001 race | 15:44.701 race | -6.19% |
| Aaron Weiner | 2021 | 35:38.001 race | 33:31.101 race | -5.94% |
| Andrew Correia | 2021 | 20:47.001 race | 19:34.901 race | -5.78% |
| Martin Li | 2022 | 23:25.001 race | 22:05.001 race | -5.69% |
| Thomas Romney | 2019 | 20:20.001 race | 19:14.701 race | -5.35% |
| Christiaan Eikeboom | 2019 | 20:03.001 race | 19:02.101 race | -5.06% |
| Luke Hogan | 2019 | 21:15.001 race | 20:12.201 race | -4.93% |
| Richard Federico III | 2025 | 17:40.001 race | 16:51.801 race | -4.55% |
| James Donahue | 2019 | 18:01.001 race | 17:13.501 race | -4.39% |
| Gabriel Klug | 2019 | 22:50.001 race | 21:55.001 race | -4.01% |
| Howard Huang | 2019 | 21:56.001 race | 21:03.401 race | -4.00% |
| Abraham Tolkoff | 2019 | 20:20.001 race | 19:35.101 race | -3.68% |
| Bennett Jones | 2022 | 19:00.001 race | 18:21.001 race | -3.42% |
| Charles Donahue | 2019 | 19:04.001 race | 18:26.401 race | -3.29% |
| Aidan McCormick | 2019 | 23:42.001 race | 23:02.101 race | -2.81% |
| Tyler Forg | 2019 | 20:53.001 race | 20:27.401 race | -2.04% |
| Nicholas Hebard | 2019 | 22:45.001 race | 22:18.701 race | -1.93% |
| Sid Chopra | 2025 | 29:14.001 race | 28:45.301 race | -1.64% |
| Jeff Wang | 2022 | 25:42.002 races | 25:22.001 race | -1.30% |
| Aidan McGaugh | 2019 | 18:07.001 race | 18:12.401 race | +0.50% |
| Nolan McNeil | 2023 | 21:20.001 race | 21:42.001 race | +1.72% |
| Ryan Cannistraro | 2019 | 26:17.001 race | 26:52.801 race | +2.27% |
| Oliver Colbert | 2025 | 24:25.001 race | 25:09.001 race | +3.00% |
| Charles Wells | 2019 | 24:25.001 race | 25:09.901 race | +3.06% |