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Pairwise course analysis

Washington Park 5K Coursevs.Bouchard Park 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Bouchard Park 5K runs faster

-0.57%

Roughly 6.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

56

Strong evidence

Median difference

-3.03%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-0.57%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+4.17%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Bouchard Park 5K fasterEvenBouchard Park 5K slower

Confidence interval

-3.67% to -1.06%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Course context

The two courses

Baseline course

Washington Park 5K Course

5,000 meters

Compared course

Bouchard Park 5K

5,000 meters

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonWashington Park 5K CourseBouchard Park 5KDifference
Brady Gomez202431:18.001 race27:56.001 race-10.76%
Allan Lu202425:46.001 race23:28.001 race-8.93%
Ella Cuccia202524:57.001 race22:51.401 race-8.39%
Alex DeChiara202422:05.001 race20:22.001 race-7.77%
Allison Luo202424:00.001 race22:21.001 race-6.88%
Angela Huffer202422:48.001 race21:28.001 race-5.85%
Cassidy Bruno202421:20.001 race20:07.001 race-5.70%
Max Liang202422:36.001 race21:19.001 race-5.68%
Stealla Curwin-Amfitheatrof202420:47.001 race19:38.001 race-5.53%
Maia Soni202525:42.001 race24:20.501 race-5.29%
Julian Barber202422:13.001 race21:04.001 race-5.18%
Lucy Walker202521:55.001 race20:47.701 race-5.12%
Anthony Billings202422:22.001 race21:14.001 race-5.07%
Claire Hackel202522:41.001 race21:33.101 race-4.99%
Gillian Griffin202525:00.001 race23:48.101 race-4.79%
Maggie Cabot202422:44.001 race21:39.001 race-4.77%
Branford Chen202522:11.001 race21:09.301 race-4.64%
Katie Tantillo202422:43.001 race21:42.001 race-4.48%
Andy Chen202522:25.001 race21:25.701 race-4.41%
Robert Sou202420:54.001 race20:00.001 race-4.31%
Quinn Mason202522:16.001 race21:21.601 race-4.07%
Steve Ma202422:14.001 race21:20.001 race-4.05%
Neela Soni202527:25.001 race26:18.801 race-4.02%
Charlotte Friedmann202427:13.001 race26:08.001 race-3.98%
Pipsa Palatsi202422:37.001 race21:50.001 race-3.46%
Catherine Maloney202526:34.001 race25:43.101 race-3.19%
Sunny Qian202421:07.001 race20:27.001 race-3.16%
Jerry Cao202421:09.001 race20:30.001 race-3.07%
Eva Zhao202430:02.001 race29:08.001 race-3.00%
Somers Estwanik202521:45.001 race21:07.101 race-2.90%
Alexei Liska202421:33.001 race20:57.001 race-2.78%
Neo Wang202423:38.001 race22:59.001 race-2.75%
Owen Richer202518:34.001 race18:03.401 race-2.75%
Marvelous Ugwu202425:54.001 race25:15.001 race-2.51%
Matt Palmer202418:23.001 race17:58.001 race-2.27%
Leighton Glass202421:00.001 race20:34.001 race-2.06%
Casey Coleman202419:57.001 race19:34.001 race-1.92%
Jax Tran202423:18.001 race22:52.001 race-1.86%
Cole Miller202518:46.001 race18:25.801 race-1.79%
Sue Hayashi202425:16.001 race24:51.001 race-1.65%
Logan Hoffman202420:51.001 race20:35.001 race-1.28%
Theo Martin202423:14.001 race23:01.001 race-0.93%
Jessica Wu202426:22.001 race26:11.001 race-0.70%
Grant Vensel202520:07.001 race19:59.601 race-0.61%
Dylan Fu202419:22.001 race19:22.001 race0.00%
Aggie Dursi202519:55.001 race19:55.101 race+0.01%
Vincent Gilbert202419:33.001 race19:37.001 race+0.34%
Sebastien Aubourg202417:52.001 race17:57.001 race+0.47%
Martin Erath202418:42.001 race18:50.001 race+0.71%
Terry Qi202419:00.001 race19:10.001 race+0.88%
Percy Gao202520:27.001 race20:44.701 race+1.44%
Eleanor Lial202519:50.001 race20:08.101 race+1.52%
Henry Orraca-Cecil202418:16.001 race18:48.001 race+2.92%
Peter Duhamel202518:40.001 race19:17.001 race+3.30%
Anika Ata202421:48.001 race26:09.001 race+19.95%
CJ Briere202518:43.001 race22:52.501 race+22.22%