Pairwise course analysis
Washington Park 5K Coursevs.Canterbury School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Canterbury School 5K runs slower
+1.06%
Roughly 12.8 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
25
Developing evidence
Median difference
-1.45%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.06%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.56%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.75% to +0.30%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Washington Park 5K Course | Canterbury School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Wu | 2024 | 24:04.001 race | 21:08.001 race | -12.19% |
| Andy Chen | 2024 | 22:33.001 race | 20:19.001 race | -9.90% |
| Jiaming Xu | 2024 | 28:59.001 race | 26:27.001 race | -8.74% |
| CJ Briere | 2024 | 19:47.001 race | 18:34.001 race | -6.15% |
| Annie Husband | 2024 | 25:45.001 race | 24:11.001 race | -6.08% |
| Cormac Anderson | 2024 | 21:33.001 race | 20:37.001 race | -4.33% |
| Miles Johnson | 2024 | 25:18.001 race | 24:19.001 race | -3.89% |
| Catherine Maloney | 2024 | 26:48.001 race | 25:50.001 race | -3.61% |
| John Joyce | 2024 | 16:36.001 race | 16:12.001 race | -2.41% |
| Brewster Worth | 2024 | 22:02.001 race | 21:39.001 race | -1.74% |
| South Fulwiler | 2024 | 24:21.001 race | 23:59.001 race | -1.51% |
| Zach Quintal | 2024 | 19:24.001 race | 19:07.001 race | -1.46% |
| Lucy Walker | 2024 | 21:46.001 race | 21:27.001 race | -1.45% |
| Luis Sosa Espinal | 2024 | 20:35.001 race | 20:21.001 race | -1.13% |
| Somers Estwanik | 2024 | 21:59.001 race | 21:45.001 race | -1.06% |
| Antonio Martinez | 2024 | 19:26.001 race | 19:16.001 race | -0.86% |
| Peter Duhamel | 2024 | 18:07.001 race | 17:58.001 race | -0.83% |
| Neela Soni | 2024 | 27:20.001 race | 27:10.001 race | -0.61% |
| Will Husband | 2024 | 17:48.001 race | 17:43.001 race | -0.47% |
| Peyton Lubeck | 2024 | 20:06.001 race | 20:06.001 race | 0.00% |
| Grant Vensel | 2024 | 19:49.001 race | 20:05.001 race | +1.35% |
| Eleanor Lial | 2024 | 20:07.001 race | 20:41.001 race | +2.82% |
| Joseph Koh | 2024 | 17:59.001 race | 18:43.001 race | +4.08% |
| Percy Gao | 2024 | 19:56.001 race | 21:02.001 race | +5.52% |
| Harry Wu | 2024 | 20:57.001 race | 23:57.001 race | +14.32% |