Pairwise course analysis
Governor's 5K Coursevs.BB&N 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
BB&N 5K Course runs faster
-7.14%
Roughly 1:26 faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
143
Deep evidence
Median difference
-7.22%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-7.14%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.65%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
BB&N 5K Course fasterEvenBB&N 5K Course slower
Confidence interval
-8.20% to -6.75%
Scale shown
-10% to +10%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Governor's 5K Course | BB&N 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Shipley | 2019 | 26:46.001 race | 21:30.001 race | -19.68% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2019 | 28:52.001 race | 23:18.001 race | -19.28% |
| Clara Choi | 2019 | 40:14.001 race | 32:50.001 race | -18.39% |
| Eleanor Mayer | 2019 | 29:27.001 race | 24:07.001 race | -18.11% |
| Sam Kim | 2019 | 28:48.001 race | 24:09.001 race | -16.15% |
| Oliver Colbert | 2023 | 25:15.001 race | 21:15.001 race | -15.84% |
| Ian Richardson | 2019 | 25:21.001 race | 21:25.001 race | -15.52% |
| Adam Jin | 2019 | 29:42.001 race | 25:24.001 race | -14.48% |
| James Lyman | 2019 | 23:35.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -14.28% |
| Bruin Brayshaw | 2022 | 25:47.003 races | 22:07.001 race | -14.22% |
| Oliver Kim | 2019 | 29:07.001 race | 25:01.001 race | -14.08% |
| Lila Graves | 2022 | 31:12.003 races | 26:49.001 race | -14.05% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2019 | 25:33.001 race | 22:04.001 race | -13.63% |
| Gabriel Barreto-D'Silva | 2019 | 24:35.001 race | 21:18.001 race | -13.36% |
| Alex Chen | 2022 | 29:42.002 races | 25:45.001 race | -13.30% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2022 | 25:34.003 races | 22:11.001 race | -13.23% |
| Cole Bourgeois | 2019 | 21:59.002 races | 19:14.001 race | -12.51% |
| Molly Madigan | 2019 | 25:13.001 race | 22:08.001 race | -12.23% |
| Jack Gilbert | 2019 | 23:46.003 races | 20:54.001 race | -12.06% |
| Nashr El Auliya | 2019 | 21:50.001 race | 19:13.001 race | -11.98% |
| Zach Heaton | 2023 | 20:12.001 race | 17:47.001 race | -11.96% |
| Amina Cifric | 2022 | 26:22.003 races | 23:18.001 race | -11.63% |
| Liam O'Connor | 2019 | 21:04.001 race | 18:37.001 race | -11.63% |
| Bear Brooks | 2022 | 18:25.003 races | 16:17.001 race | -11.58% |
| Sophia Matherly | 2022 | 26:46.003 races | 23:40.001 race | -11.58% |
| Lucie Abenante | 2019 | 31:01.002 races | 27:31.001 race | -11.28% |
| Cora Knoell | 2022 | 24:31.003 races | 21:47.001 race | -11.15% |
| Lakshmi Bogelli | 2019 | 35:36.002 races | 31:47.001 race | -10.72% |
| John Harrington | 2019 | 21:09.001 race | 18:54.001 race | -10.64% |
| Levi Harrison | 2023 | 19:49.001 race | 17:43.001 race | -10.60% |
| Calvin Reid | 2023 | 21:24.001 race | 19:08.001 race | -10.59% |
| Joe Zhao | 2019 | 24:59.001 race | 22:23.001 race | -10.41% |
| Brian Zheng | 2022 | 21:17.003 races | 19:05.001 race | -10.34% |
| Katelyn Korzon | 2024 | 30:44.001 race | 27:36.001 race | -10.20% |
| Fin Reichard | 2023 | 21:26.001 race | 19:17.001 race | -10.03% |
| Jude Anderson-Song | 2024 | 20:58.001 race | 18:52.001 race | -10.02% |
| Skylar Bedard | 2022 | 22:00.003 races | 19:54.001 race | -9.55% |
| Sophia Mikelinich | 2022 | 23:00.003 races | 20:49.001 race | -9.49% |
| Grace Maloney | 2022 | 25:48.003 races | 23:23.001 race | -9.37% |
| Austin Corbett | 2024 | 19:40.003 races | 17:50.001 race | -9.32% |
| Ben Nissenbaum | 2022 | 24:30.004 races | 22:13.001 race | -9.32% |
| Jana Choe | 2019 | 35:09.003 races | 31:56.001 race | -9.15% |
| Cara (c Nugent | 2019 | 25:15.001 race | 22:57.001 race | -9.11% |
| Mei-Ling Bielagus | 2022 | 21:29.003 races | 19:32.001 race | -9.08% |
| Lincoln Hyatt | 2023 | 19:42.001 race | 17:55.001 race | -9.05% |
| Mei-Ling Bielagus | 2024 | 22:00.002 races | 20:01.001 race | -9.02% |
| Matthew Mariani | 2022 | 20:33.003 races | 18:42.001 race | -9.00% |
| Alex Tobias | 2019 | 20:03.001 race | 18:15.001 race | -8.98% |
| Alex Hallstrom | 2019 | 22:33.003 races | 20:34.001 race | -8.80% |
| Akhilsai Damera | 2023 | 20:46.001 race | 18:58.001 race | -8.67% |
| Willow Dixon | 2024 | 25:09.001 race | 22:59.001 race | -8.61% |
| Alex Schoenwald | 2024 | 27:45.003 races | 25:25.001 race | -8.41% |
| Lissy Portorreal | 2022 | 33:34.001 race | 30:45.001 race | -8.39% |
| Ella McDonald | 2024 | 23:41.003 races | 21:44.001 race | -8.23% |
| Lucy Rainer | 2019 | 28:35.002 races | 26:14.001 race | -8.22% |
| Nolan McKenna | 2019 | 19:48.001 race | 18:11.001 race | -8.16% |
| Amelia Barlow | 2022 | 24:57.003 races | 22:55.001 race | -8.15% |
| Mason Peng | 2022 | 24:27.002 races | 22:28.001 race | -8.11% |
| Austin Reid | 2023 | 22:46.001 race | 20:58.001 race | -7.91% |
| Zach Lonberg | 2019 | 26:24.003 races | 24:19.001 race | -7.89% |
| Eric Berard | 2019 | 19:27.003 races | 17:55.001 race | -7.88% |
| Benzo Zhou | 2022 | 20:58.003 races | 19:19.001 race | -7.87% |
| Armando Walters | 2019 | 22:18.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -7.85% |
| Max Rochford | 2022 | 25:19.003 races | 23:21.001 race | -7.77% |
| Richard Federico | 2023 | 18:28.001 race | 17:02.001 race | -7.76% |
| Ezra Klauber | 2023 | 17:44.001 race | 16:22.001 race | -7.71% |
| Wes Gray | 2024 | 25:08.003 races | 23:12.001 race | -7.69% |
| James Kerr | 2023 | 17:36.001 race | 16:16.001 race | -7.58% |
| Alex Yin | 2019 | 23:09.001 race | 21:27.001 race | -7.34% |
| David (Hershie) Liebowitz | 2019 | 26:19.001 race | 24:24.001 race | -7.28% |
| Andy Seals | 2021 | 19:57.001 race | 18:30.001 race | -7.27% |
| Theo Teng | 2019 | 22:51.001 race | 21:12.001 race | -7.22% |
| Jason Li | 2024 | 25:35.003 races | 23:45.001 race | -7.17% |
| Liam Walsh | 2023 | 18:11.001 race | 16:54.001 race | -7.06% |
| Isabelle Stewart | 2019 | 28:11.003 races | 26:13.001 race | -6.98% |
| Grayson Lee | 2023 | 21:33.001 race | 20:04.001 race | -6.88% |
| Aleah Ghiasuddin | 2019 | 29:31.002 races | 27:30.001 race | -6.83% |
| Quinn Donovan | 2019 | 18:21.001 race | 17:06.001 race | -6.81% |
| Aditya Shrivastava | 2022 | 24:18.002 races | 22:41.001 race | -6.65% |
| Eliza Barker | 2021 | 26:38.001 race | 24:53.001 race | -6.57% |
| Cheng Zhuang | 2021 | 22:56.001 race | 21:27.001 race | -6.47% |
| Colin Bradley | 2023 | 20:26.001 race | 19:07.001 race | -6.44% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2021 | 22:21.001 race | 20:55.001 race | -6.41% |
| Michael Thomas | 2019 | 20:04.001 race | 18:48.001 race | -6.31% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2019 | 25:59.001 race | 24:21.001 race | -6.29% |
| Olivia Crisafi | 2019 | 28:56.003 races | 27:07.001 race | -6.28% |
| Lucy McCormick | 2024 | 23:38.003 races | 22:09.001 race | -6.28% |
| Kevin Yao | 2022 | 21:25.002 races | 20:06.001 race | -6.15% |
| Arav Kochhar | 2024 | 24:25.003 races | 22:57.001 race | -6.01% |
| Cassidy Kamil | 2024 | 27:16.002 races | 25:38.001 race | -5.99% |
| Brendan Reichard | 2023 | 21:22.001 race | 20:07.001 race | -5.85% |
| Talia Jachimowicz | 2019 | 26:28.003 races | 24:56.001 race | -5.79% |
| John (Jake) Popeo | 2023 | 19:39.001 race | 18:32.001 race | -5.68% |
| Eric Lin | 2019 | 29:49.002 races | 28:08.001 race | -5.65% |
| Javi Werner | 2019 | 18:40.001 race | 17:38.001 race | -5.54% |
| Dylan Uttam | 2024 | 21:03.003 races | 19:54.001 race | -5.46% |
| Max Rochford | 2024 | 24:07.003 races | 22:49.001 race | -5.39% |
| George Madison | 2019 | 17:59.001 race | 17:01.001 race | -5.38% |
| Quinn Anderson-Song | 2019 | 20:04.003 races | 19:02.001 race | -5.15% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2021 | 26:39.001 race | 25:17.001 race | -5.13% |
| Eric Diop | 2023 | 18:19.001 race | 17:23.001 race | -5.10% |
| Hollen Knoell | 2019 | 26:17.003 races | 24:58.001 race | -5.01% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2024 | 20:14.002 races | 19:14.001 race | -4.94% |
| Peter Abenante | 2024 | 21:02.003 races | 20:00.001 race | -4.91% |
| Mark Henshon | 2019 | 17:57.001 race | 17:05.001 race | -4.83% |
| Leo Lin | 2019 | 23:23.003 races | 22:16.001 race | -4.78% |
| Peter Abenante | 2022 | 22:21.003 races | 21:18.001 race | -4.70% |
| Eric Archerman | 2023 | 20:01.001 race | 19:05.001 race | -4.66% |
| Elena Gordon | 2024 | 25:09.003 races | 24:00.001 race | -4.57% |
| Martin Beaumont-Mill | 2024 | 21:21.003 races | 20:23.001 race | -4.53% |
| Will Cote | 2019 | 17:44.001 race | 16:56.001 race | -4.51% |
| Josh Taylor | 2024 | 22:19.003 races | 21:19.001 race | -4.48% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2021 | 24:00.001 race | 22:57.001 race | -4.37% |
| Josh Taylor | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 22:05.001 race | -4.33% |
| Cameron Estrada | 2019 | 22:32.001 race | 21:37.001 race | -4.07% |
| Adyson Duval | 2021 | 28:14.001 race | 27:06.001 race | -4.01% |
| Alex Hass | 2019 | 20:47.002 races | 19:59.001 race | -3.85% |
| DK Rhee | 2024 | 30:33.003 races | 29:24.001 race | -3.76% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2021 | 21:00.001 race | 20:15.001 race | -3.57% |
| Thomas Ireland | 2024 | 20:05.003 races | 19:23.001 race | -3.49% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2024 | 25:07.003 races | 24:19.001 race | -3.19% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2021 | 24:44.001 race | 23:59.001 race | -3.03% |
| Eric Zhu | 2023 | 19:31.001 race | 18:56.001 race | -2.99% |
| Dylan Uttam | 2022 | 22:27.003 races | 21:50.001 race | -2.75% |
| Katie Riley | 2019 | 28:11.001 race | 27:25.001 race | -2.72% |
| Brady Preneta | 2024 | 21:09.003 races | 20:36.001 race | -2.60% |
| Max Kesselheim | 2023 | 20:35.001 race | 20:04.001 race | -2.51% |
| Alex Tobias | 2021 | 17:42.001 race | 17:19.001 race | -2.17% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2021 | 19:00.001 race | 18:36.001 race | -2.11% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2021 | 22:40.001 race | 22:12.001 race | -2.06% |
| Jillian Bergeron | 2024 | 20:14.003 races | 19:50.001 race | -1.98% |
| Jessica Choe | 2019 | 30:05.003 races | 29:31.001 race | -1.88% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2021 | 23:33.001 race | 23:09.001 race | -1.70% |
| Nicholas Reimer | 2022 | 23:03.003 races | 22:40.001 race | -1.66% |
| Monica Mukherjee | 2021 | 22:41.001 race | 22:31.001 race | -0.73% |
| Hugh Park | 2021 | 20:45.001 race | 20:44.001 race | -0.08% |
| James Lyman | 2021 | 20:54.001 race | 20:58.001 race | +0.32% |
| Evan Wirth | 2021 | 19:31.001 race | 19:37.001 race | +0.51% |
| Grigory Menshikov | 2019 | 25:52.003 races | 26:08.001 race | +1.03% |
| Ryan King | 2019 | 25:44.003 races | 26:04.001 race | +1.30% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2021 | 24:47.001 race | 25:30.001 race | +2.89% |
| Aiden English | 2019 | 22:47.002 races | 23:30.001 race | +3.15% |
| Tanay Kommareddi | 2019 | 23:35.001 race | 24:20.001 race | +3.18% |