Pairwise course analysis
Highland Park Championship Coursevs.Governor's 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Governor's 5K Course runs slower
+5.74%
Roughly 1:09 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
23
Developing evidence
Median difference
+11.98%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+5.74%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+7.60%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+8.68% to +14.91%
Scale shown
-16% to +16%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Highland Park Championship Course | Governor's 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Johnson | 2023 | 19:22.001 race | 19:50.001 race | +2.41% |
| Cheng Zhuang | 2023 | 21:04.001 race | 21:48.001 race | +3.48% |
| Forrester Clark | 2023 | 17:38.001 race | 18:27.001 race | +4.63% |
| Samson Oblak | 2023 | 21:38.001 race | 22:39.001 race | +4.70% |
| Thomas Pyle | 2023 | 21:18.001 race | 22:20.001 race | +4.85% |
| Tatum Glynn | 2023 | 24:35.001 race | 26:09.001 race | +6.37% |
| Thomas Lacoste | 2023 | 20:11.001 race | 21:30.001 race | +6.52% |
| Phoebe Cogan | 2023 | 21:30.001 race | 23:00.001 race | +6.98% |
| Eben Dooling | 2023 | 20:31.001 race | 22:00.001 race | +7.23% |
| Adyson Duval | 2023 | 24:15.001 race | 26:07.001 race | +7.70% |
| Arden Sartori | 2023 | 23:18.001 race | 25:25.001 race | +9.08% |
| Ava Marinaro | 2023 | 27:50.001 race | 31:10.001 race | +11.98% |
| Armaun Dehpanah | 2023 | 20:28.001 race | 23:02.001 race | +12.54% |
| Kevin Xie | 2023 | 24:40.001 race | 27:47.001 race | +12.64% |
| Alder Hurley | 2023 | 36:55.001 race | 41:50.001 race | +13.32% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2023 | 18:40.001 race | 21:21.001 race | +14.38% |
| Leo Charlamb | 2023 | 25:38.001 race | 29:20.001 race | +14.43% |
| Sienna Steeves | 2023 | 28:01.001 race | 32:07.001 race | +14.63% |
| Grace Pilkington | 2023 | 26:47.001 race | 31:11.001 race | +16.43% |
| Dhruva Tailam | 2023 | 22:55.001 race | 26:55.001 race | +17.45% |
| Kamran Bradley | 2023 | 22:08.001 race | 27:07.001 race | +22.52% |
| Samson Nwobi | 2023 | 27:33.001 race | 35:18.001 race | +28.13% |
| Marcus Magura | 2023 | 20:08.001 race | 26:56.001 race | +33.77% |