Pairwise course analysis
Bouchard Park 5Kvs.Thayer 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
These courses run about even
-0.08%
Roughly 0.9 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
33
Developing evidence
Median difference
+4.02%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-0.08%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.20%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+3.52% to +7.14%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Bouchard Park 5K | Thayer 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shreya Jain | 2019 | 28:25.901 race | 27:51.001 race | -2.05% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 17:27.001 race | 17:20.001 race | -0.67% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 19:38.001 race | 19:43.001 race | +0.42% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 18:28.001 race | 18:34.001 race | +0.54% |
| Eli Helzberg | 2022 | 20:09.001 race | 20:22.001 race | +1.08% |
| Heng Leong | 2022 | 20:35.001 race | 20:49.001 race | +1.13% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 21:12.001 race | 21:33.001 race | +1.65% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 16:52.001 race | 17:13.001 race | +2.08% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 19:29.001 race | 19:55.001 race | +2.22% |
| Maanasi Chintamani | 2019 | 25:54.301 race | 26:29.001 race | +2.23% |
| Rosie Qin | 2019 | 26:04.801 race | 26:49.001 race | +2.82% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 18:26.001 race | 18:59.001 race | +2.98% |
| Phoebe Lu | 2019 | 25:52.301 race | 26:42.001 race | +3.20% |
| Sam Blank | 2022 | 19:32.001 race | 20:10.001 race | +3.24% |
| Maya Sidhu | 2019 | 23:59.601 race | 24:52.001 race | +3.64% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:00.001 race | 23:55.001 race | +3.99% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 17:49.001 race | 18:32.001 race | +4.02% |
| Amelia Stevens | 2019 | 24:16.001 race | 25:17.001 race | +4.19% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 21:23.001 race | 22:17.001 race | +4.21% |
| Megan Ding | 2019 | 24:47.201 race | 26:00.001 race | +4.90% |
| Elizabeth Gatto | 2019 | 25:58.301 race | 27:31.001 race | +5.95% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 23:48.001 race | 25:14.001 race | +6.02% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 22:43.001 race | 24:22.001 race | +7.26% |
| Grace Luettgen | 2019 | 24:40.401 race | 26:32.001 race | +7.54% |
| Eliza Hirsch | 2019 | 38:28.001 race | 41:22.001 race | +7.54% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 21:31.001 race | +8.03% |
| Amy Li | 2019 | 30:59.101 race | 33:31.001 race | +8.17% |
| Linda Qin | 2019 | 29:01.401 race | 31:27.001 race | +8.36% |
| Josie Silk | 2019 | 22:00.501 race | 23:56.001 race | +8.75% |
| Mia Peng | 2019 | 27:29.401 race | 29:57.001 race | +8.95% |
| Justine Lam | 2019 | 27:34.301 race | 30:35.001 race | +10.92% |
| Lily Weinstein | 2019 | 32:25.401 race | 39:34.001 race | +22.03% |
| Megan Shi | 2019 | 31:42.201 race | 39:27.001 race | +24.43% |